Nguyen Van Huong
Faculty of Economics, Hung Yen University of Technology and Education (UTEHY), Hung Yen, Viet NamEmail: vanhuong75hy@gmail.com
Bui Thi Minh Nguyet
Vietnam National University of Forestry, Xuan Mai, Ha Noi, VietnamEmail: minhnguyetfuv@gmail.com
Hoang Van Hung
Faculty of Economics, Hung Yen University of Technology and Education (UTEHY), Hung Yen, Viet NamEmail: davidhoang8585@gmail.com
Hoang Minh Duc
Faculty of Economics, Hung Yen University of Technology and Education (UTEHY), Hung Yen, Viet NamEmail: duchoasunghau@gmail.com
Nguyen Van Chuong
University of Financial – Business Administration (UFBA), Hung Yen, Viet NamEmail: nguyenchuong.edu@gmail.com
Do Minh Tri
Nguyen Van Linh Political School, Hung Yen, Viet NamEmail: minhtritct@gmail.com
Phung Van Hien
National Academy of Public Administration (NAPA), Ha Noi, Viet NamEmail: phunghiennapa@gmail.com
Abstract:
Food security, agricultural exports, and livelihoods have improved by rapid agricultural expansion in the previous 30 years. In the coming decades, warming trends and human pressures are expected to exacerbate the impact of climate change on agriculture. A time series of data from 1990 to 2020 examines the economic effects of climate change on Vietnamese farm production. After using the Augmented Dickey-Fuller and Philips-Perron unit root tests, the ARDL bounds testing technique estimates short and long-run cointegration. They found long-run cointegration between the variables. A positive influence of CO2 emissions is identified, although negative impacts of average temperature and rainfall are found. But only in the short term can energy consumption benefit agriculture. Non-climatic factors like crop production and fertiliser consumption have beneficial short- and long-term impacts on agriculture production and yield. Juselius Jhansen As well as proving long-term cointegration between variables. The report advises the Vietnamese government to create and implement many adaptation programmes to preserve the agriculture industry from climate change.
Keywords:Climate change; Agriculture output; Vietnam; ARDL bound testing approach.